General

How Recent Signings and Cuts Affect 1st Round of NFL Draft

Besides the NFL Combine, Free Agency is the other major event in the pre-draft schedule. It is a time for teams to turn over their roster in an attempt to find that perfect locker room chemistry needed to be successful. Winning franchises re-sign key players, and bolster their depth for another championship run. Poor teams will either try to coax good players with overpriced contracts and promises of future success or have to search the bottom barrel for stop gap players. All the while fans for are eagerly awaiting that one big-time signee who will save their beloved franchise from the depths of despair.

Welcome to Free Agency 2010.

As a draft nut, I can’t help but wonder how these signings in the first week of free agency will affect a team’s direction heading into the Draft.

For simplicity, I’ll discuss teams based on their draft order, starting with teams selecting in the top 10.

Let’s get to it.

Detroit Lions

Does Detroit Still Like Suh? (NFL.com)

Contrary to recent years, the Lions were very active from the start of free agency,  plugging holes with starting caliber athletes at DE, DT, WR, and CB.

Does the signing of pass-rushing 3-technique Corey Williams mean that Detroit wants to bypass the top two DT prospects (Gerald McCoy and Ndamukong Suh), and go in a different direction? Vanden Bosch and Corey Williams will be paid around $15 million for next year. Does the team want to invest a #2 pick in another D-lineman who will command an even larger contract?

Although the franchise has made it know that they wish to trade out of the #2 pick, they may have no other choice than to select the best player available, which is definitely one of the two DT’s.

Washington Redskins

Mike Shanahan continued his purge of old blood with the cutting of several long-time veterans. Losing  LG Randy Thomas and LT Chris Samuels leaves a giant void on the left side of the offensive line.  If Sam Bradford is gone (which is almost definite), I don’t see Washington having any other choice than to get a player like Russell Okung.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Desperate for pass rushers, Jacksonville went out and got themselves one of the best on the market, Aaron Kampman. I doubt they will invest another first-round pick in a DE after this move. Furthermore, they can look to address some other position of need…a game-breaking running threat, or a ball-hawking safety to counter the pass-happy offenses in the AFC South, perhaps?

Denver Broncos

Letting Brandon Marshall walk makes the signing of a number 1 receiver a priority in this Draft.  But on the bright side, signing NT Jamal Williams and DE Jarvis Green fill huge holes along the D-line. Many believed those were two of the prime target positions for this Draft. That is no longer the case.

Miami Dolphins

Signing Karlos Dansby nixes any possibility of the Dolphins going after Alabama ILB Rolando McClain. However, the team cut Jason Taylor and Joey Porter. So, it seems that they want to get an OLB early, maybe as soon as round 1. Possibilities include Brandon Graham, Sergio Kindle, or maybe someone like Ricky Sapp a bit later on.

By the way, the experiment with S Gibril Wilson failed miserably. Targeting a safety is not out of the question.

Tennessee Titans

The Titans have 6 key players/leaders to replace: C Kevin Mawae, DE’s Kyle Vande Bosch and Jevon Kearse, CB’s Rod Hood and Nick Harper, and veteran OLB Keith Bulluck. The loss of those two DE’s reinforces the need for more pass rushers. They are still in good position to draft a very good DE in round 1.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Thoughts of the Steelers drafting a safety early on likely were ended with the re-signing of Ryan Clark and the addition of Will Allen for depth.

Atlanta Falcons/Houston Texans

Picking up Dunta Robinson was a big-time move for a team desperate for help in the secondary. However, the Texans need to find a new shutdown cornerback through the draft.  Kyle Wilson, Devin McCourty, or even Joe Haden could be enticing at pick #20.

Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals’ poor passing attack was exposed in the playoffs this season. So, they made it a priority to bolster that part of the offense with a player like Antonio Bryant. They still could use some more help from a guy like Jermaine Gresham. But the need is not nearly as great anymore.

Baltimore Ravens

Making a splash in free agency isn’t usually the way of Ozzie Newsome. Yet, the chance to upgrade a mediocre passing attack with a premiere receiver was too good to pass up. Anquan Boldin and Donte Stallworth could make the Ravens offense special. I expect them to turn their attention back to adding youth to the defense, where the team’s identity truly lies.

Arizona Cardinals

It seems like Arizona dumped half of their team in free agency. Neil Rackers, Karlos Dansby, Chike Okeafor, Antrell Rolle, plus a great deal of depth players were all dropped, presumably in a youth movement. They managed to stop the bleeding with the signing of Kerry Rhodes. But they have their work cut out for them in the draft and free agency. With so many holes, they could go in any number of directions, including TE, LB, S, OT, or CB.

San Diego Chargers

In order for a 3-4 defense to be effective, it needs a dominant NT, like the one they once had in Jamal Williams. Guys like Dan Williams or Terrence Cody will be prime targets.

New York Jets

Earl Thomas (NFL.com)

Kerry Rhodes was a good, but not elite player for the Jets.  I could definitely see them eying a guy like Earl Thomas from Texas, if he falls that far. Or, what if they made another quantum leap into the top 10 and selected Eric Berry? I know it’s unlikely, but it’s just a thought.

New Orleans Saints

We all know the Saints are strong on offense. They lost some starters on defense (Darren Sharper, Scott Fujita, Charles Grant). They should bolster that side of the ball if there is value.  Maybe a Daryll Washington from TCU would be a good option for them.

As with any other sporting event, we are naturally interested in crowning winners and losers for the NFL Combine. These are top level athletes known for their competitive fire and desire to win. There is no doubt that the prospects on the field this week were competing against each other in some form or fashion. For that reason, I think it is interesting to toss my two bits into the arena of opinion and name some winners and losers for this year’s Combine.

Combine Winners

Ndamukong Suh (NFL.com)

Bruce Campbell

Just a dominant overall performance by Campbell.  He looked fantastic in every drill on Saturday.  Did his workout catch the eye of Al Davis and the offensive tackle-hungry Oakland Raiders?

Ndamukong Suh

Talk about nimble…. Suh was like a dancing bear. It was absolutely evident that he was prepared to compete at the Combine.  32 reps on the bench could be a key factor in separating himself from Gerald McCoy who only had 23 reps.

Taylor Mays

NFL scouts in attendance said that Mays’ actual clocked time in the 40 was closer to the 4.24 than his official time of 4.43.  He was nearly as fast as advertised.

Jerry Hughes

Strength still a concern for Hughes, but there will be no questions about his athleticism and ability to transition to 3-4 OLB at the next level after putting on a display in agility during drills.

Eric Berry

Came in bigger and stronger than expected. His drills were very clean, and he ran a fast 4.47  in the 40, coupled with an amazing 43 inch vertical.

Trent Williams

Superb speed (4.88 sec) and fantastic footwork firmly plants Williams within the top 10 of the Draft.  The doubts concerning his height were squashed, too.  He is a solid 6′4” plus change.

Sam Bradford

Bradford has to be on this list, even though he didn’t work out.  He checked out medically, which means he is again a serious contender for the #1 overall pick.

Jahvid Best

Best ran the fastest 40 time of all the running backs (4.35 sec).  That is always a momentum shifter.

Jacoby Ford

Fastest man at the combine (4.28 sec) will catch the eye of evaluators.  Speed causes teams to overlook a multitude of flaws.

Dorin Dickerson

The Pittsburgh prospect was better than Jared Cook last year. Dickerson was the top tight end performer in the 40-yard dash (4.40 sec), broad jump (10′10”) and vertical leap (43 inch). He also posted great marks in the bench press ( 24 reps), 3-cone drill, and 20-yard shuttle.  Teams will be very intrigued by his athleticism.

Devin McCourty

Of all the defensive backs, McCourty looked the smoothest in drills. His strong suit is fluidity in his transition and breaks on the ball.  He made himself some money on Tuesday.

Ryan Matthews

An very good overall, especially for a big running back (6′0,” 218 lbs.) workout might have been enough to push Matthews into the 1st round.  He ran a fast 4.45 in the 40, and was a top performer in the vertical leap, 20-yard shuttle, and bench press.

Combine Losers

Joe Haden (NFL.com)

Joe Haden

His slow 40 time (somewhere around 4.58-4.62) shocked me.  His tape is fantastic, but he has to answer the speed questions to maintain top corner status.

Rolando McClain

Was the pulled hamstring a ploy?  Probably not, but I wanted to see McClain answer questions I have about his speed.

Carlos Dunlap

This was supposed to be his time to shine. But his workout was very average. He looked clumsy when moving laterally, and his straight line speed wasn’t near what was expected.

Dez Bryant

I want to know why he didn’t work out.

Anthony Davis

Concerns about his work ethic were confirmed by his lack of preparation.  Apparently, he looked soft in the middle, and his 23 bench press reps were not impressive for a man of his size.

Donovan Warren

An unofficial 4.58 sec in the 40 isn’t great for a cornerback. Warren wasn’t a top performer in any category.

Brandon Spikes

Another one of those guys who didn’t run for one reason or another.  This raises a red flag regarding his timed speed.  We know he is a great football player, but we wanted to see how good an athlete he is.

Dan LeFevour

No good reason given for not throwing.  Thes4e quarterbacks don’t seem to understand that scouts only want to see their footwork and delivery. Accuracy really doesn’t matter at the combine.

Rich Eisen

Good ol’ Rich…. I thought maybe this would be the year he broke 6.0 in the 40. Guess we will have to wait until next year. Hopefull, he will wear better exercise clothes than a suit next time.

The Bruce Campbell Show

Bruce Campbell running 40-yard dash (NFL.com)

Saturday marked the beginning of position workouts for the 2010 NFL Combine. The first day is dedicated to the offensive linemen and tight ends, who undergo a series of positional drills in addition to the standard athletic tests (40 yard dash, bench press, etc).  Although there were over 50 players working out, all eyes were on a Bruce Campbell, OT from the University of Maryland.

His workout numbers:

Mike Mayock went on record as saying Campbell is “the best looking offensive tackle [he has] ever seen in person in [his] life.” At the weigh-in, he was 6′6 and was a svelte 314 pounds.

Not only did he look the part in the standard drills, but Bruce shined in positional work as well.  In the kick slide drill, which is used to test the player’s ability to slide in pass protection, Campbell looked very smooth and explosive out of his stance. And in the mirror drill, he also showed off his good reaction skills and lateral movement.

If you missed his workout, watch the recap here.

Other Notable Performers

Besides Campbell, several other players stood out-some for good reasons, others for bad.  Oklahoma Sooner Trent Williams showed he can run with the best of them, putting up a 4.88 sec 40 yard dash. He also looked very capable in the position drills.  Unfortunately, he failed to live up to expectations on the bench press ( 23 reps).

Pittsburgh TE Dorin Dickerson ran a blazing 4.40 in the 40 yard dash, and leaped an amazing 43 inches in the vertical.

Texas Tech OG Brandon Carter looked very out of place today. He showed up out of shape, and looked very awkward in all the drills.  His lack of lateral mobility was exposed several times, and was caught lunging from the waist in the kick slide drill.

Iowa OL Kyle Calloway also didn’t look good.  He was all-around sluggish and couldn’t move well.

Idaho OG Mike Iupati struggled in agility drills. He did nothing to convince teams that he can play tackle at the next level.

Long overdue, I updated my Draft scenarios Mock Draft.

Although there is no change at the top of the draft, there are some surprises including a top player getting pushed out of the top 10.

So feel free to check it out and let me know what me know what you think!

Click here to view David’s Draft Scenarios/Mock Draft

Also, make sure to watch the Combine coverage, which starts tomorrow at 9 AM eastern time.  Watch it live for free on NFL.com.